Hurricane & Tornado Climate

Here we illustrate a statistical model for predicting tornado activity in the central Plains by March 1st.  The model predicts the number...

Here we illustrate a statistical point process model that uses the spatial occurrence of non-violent tornadoes to predict the distributio...

Our newest book is now available.  Our website provides the code used to produce all the figures.  Learn to code.  Enjoy!

Tornado-hazard assessment is hampered by a population bias in the available data.  We demonstrate a way to statistically quantify this bias...

Research on trends in western North Pacific tropical cyclone (TC) activity is limited by problems associated with different wind speed conv...

We define the spatial response of hurricanes to extremes in the solar cycle. Using an equal-area hexagon tessellation, regional hurricane c...

While the SSTs did not cause Sandy to curve into New Jersey, they quite likely caused Sandy to be stronger. Our new research shows that the...

There is academic, commercial, and public interest in estimating loss from hurricanes striking land and understanding how loss might chang...

As part of the undergraduate course, "Chasing Storms," I took four volunteer students on an actual chase. We  embarked on a wee...

It's difficult to get a precise measurement of tornado wind speed without actually going inside one. Armed with Blender's new mot...

The strongest hurricanes are getting stronger as the oceans heat up especially over the North Atlantic. Sensitivity of hurricane intensit...

No description " href=...

Talks given at the 3rd International Summit on Hurricanes and Climate Change are now available at http://ciquestudios.com/hurricaneclimate/ ...

Statistical models of regional and clustered tropical cyclone (TC) activity are being developed and tested. High resolution and detailed mic...

June 27-July 2, 2011, Rhodes, GREECE. It promises to be a good one. Check out the program . Props go to Ian Elsner for designing and edi...

While hot air swirls on whether climate change is affecting tornadoes, I take a break on May 24, 2011 to chase down a few storms in Oklahom...

Models that predict annual U.S. hurricane activity assume a Poisson distribution for the counts. This assumption leads to a forecast that un...

In collaboration with Gabriele Villarini and as part of the U.S. CLIVAR working group on hurricanes, I've written a short summary paper...

Over the past several years the topic of hurricanes and climate change has received considerable attention by scientists, the insurance in...

We demonstrate a new framework for studying hurricane climatology. The framework consists of a spatial tessellation of the hurricane basin ...